Kiper has published his first mock. It goes something like this...
1. 49ers - Alex Smith (QB-Utah)
2. Dolphins - Cedric Benson (RB-Texas)
3. Browns - Aaron Rodgers (QB-Cal)
4. Bears - Ronnie Browns (RB-Auburn)
5. Bucs - Carnell Williams (RB-Auburn)
6. Titans - Adam Jones (CB-West Virginia)
7. Raiders - Dan Cody (DE-Oklahoma)
8. Cardinals - Travis Johnson (DT-Flordia State)
9. Redskins - Braylon Edwards (WR-Michigan)
10. Lions - Heath Miller (TE-Virginia)
11. Cowboys - Shawne Merriman (DE/OLB-Maryland)
12. Chargers - Derrick Johnson (OLB-Texas)
13. Texans - Mike Williams (WR-USC)
14. Panthers - Jammal Brown (OT-Oklahoma)
15. Chiefs - Antrel Rolle (CB-Miami)
16. Saints - Thomas Davis (OLB-Georgia)
17. Bengals - Erasmus James (DE-Wisconsin)
18. Vikings - Shaun Cody (DL-USC)
19. Rams - David Pollack (DE-Georgia)
20. Cowboys - Troy Williamson (WR-South Carolina)
21. Jaguars - Alex Barron (OT-Flordia State)
22. Ravens - Roddy White (WR-UAB)
23. Seahawks - Darryl Blackstock (OLB-Virginia)
24. Packers - Channing Crowder (MLB-Florida)
25. Broncos - Matt Roth (DE-Iowa)
26. Jets - Carlos Rogers (CB-Auburn)
27. Falcons - Brandon Browner (CB-Oregon State)
28. Chargers - Roscoe Parrish (WR-Miami)
29. Colts - Bryant McFadden (CB-Florida State)
30. Patriots - Justin Miller (CB-Clemson)
31. Eagles - Justin Tuck (DE - Notre Dame)
32. Steelers - Alex Smith (TE - Stanford)
Put aside the fact that the real draft will look very different. There are a few things that are significant as far as the Browns are concerned.
- There are no offensive linemen worthy of the #3 pick. Unless the Browns trade down, we aren't getting a left tackle in the first round. We will all have to pray we get some OL talent in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.
- There are not, in fact, any concensus top 10 picks yet. There are guys that seem like they will be, but you'll be hard pressed to find any consistency between the various rankings and mock drafts. This is a good thing if you have faith that Savage can find the most talented guys in a pool of seemingly equal players.
- If Alex Smith and Aaron Rodgers become concensus top 5 picks, a trade down with the Cardinals would make some sense, though Denny Green does not have a history of selecting QB's early. Maybe the Raiders. Maybe even the Seahawks if Hassellbeckk bolts, though that would be a pretty low first round pick.
- If the Browns make the rumored move to a 3-4, some players would seem to be more likely picks -- Derrick Johnson and Shawne Merriman. If Crennel becomes head coach, however, I would expect he'd bring his defense with him, which means playing 3-4 only occasionally thoughtout a game.
Well, it's still a bit of a bummer with Leinhart not in the draft, but look at the bright side -- if another team really wants a QB, there is now only two guys they'd realistically pick in the top 5, and after that only Charlie Frye is considered a possible first-rounder.